open access publication

Article, 2022

The Rise of the Machines: Automation, Horizontal Innovation, and Income Inequality

AMERICAN ECONOMIC JOURNAL-MACROECONOMICS, ISSN 1945-7707, 1945-7707, Volume 14, 1, Pages 179-223, 10.1257/mac.20160164

Contributors

Hemous, David 0000-0001-6024-5294 (Corresponding author) [1] [2] Olsen, Morten [3]

Affiliations

  1. [1] CEPR, London, England
  2. [NORA names: United Kingdom; Europe, Non-EU; OECD];
  3. [2] Univ Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
  4. [NORA names: Switzerland; Europe, Non-EU; OECD];
  5. [3] Univ Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
  6. [NORA names: KU University of Copenhagen; University; Denmark; Europe, EU; Nordic; OECD]

Abstract

We build an endogenous growth model with automation (the replacement of low-skill workers with machines) and horizontal innovation (the creation of new products). Over time, the share of automation innovations endogenously increases through an increase in low-skill wages, leading to an increase in the skill premium and a decline in the labor share. We calibrate the model to the US economy and show that it quantitatively replicates the paths of the skill premium, the labor share, and labor productivity. Our model offers a new perspective on recent trends in the income distribution by showing that they can be explained endogenously.

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