Article,
Calculation of Epidemic First Passage and Peak Time Probability Distributions
Affiliations
- [1] Univ Copenhagen, Sect Epidemiol, DK-1353 Copenhagen, Denmark [NORA names: KU University of Copenhagen; University; Denmark; Europe, EU; Nordic; OECD];
- [2] Univ Manchester, Dept Math, Manchester M13 9PL, England [NORA names: United Kingdom; Europe, Non-EU; OECD]
Abstract
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Keywords
branching processes,
first passage time distribution,
outbreak,
stochastic transmission model,
uncertainty quantification